National Bureau of Economic Research says economic growth in the US peaked in February and has since entered its first downturn since 2007 to 2009
US recession started in February
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The United States is officially in a recession, ending the longest economic expansion in US history,
the committee that calls downturns announced on Monday.
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) said that economic growth in the US peaked in February and has since entered its first downturn since 2007 to 2009,.theguardian reports.
The end of the record-setting streak of 128 months of growth came shortly before the coronavirus
pandemic hit the US but after the virus had all but halted economic activity in China and other
countries.
While economists often define a recession as two consecutive quarters of contraction, the NBER uses a
range of factors, including domestic production and employment, to determine whether or not a recession
has begun.
“The committee recognizes that the pandemic and the public health response have resulted in a downturn
with different characteristics and dynamics than prior recessions. Nonetheless, it concluded that the
unprecedented magnitude of the decline in employment and production, and its broad reach across the
entire economy, warrants the designation of this episode as a recession, even if it turns out to be
briefer than earlier contractions,” the NBER explained in a statement.
On Friday the labor department announced that the US unemployment rate in May was 13.3%, down from
14.7% in April, a post-second world war high, but still nearly four times the rate in February.
The labor department also warned that difficulties with collecting data during the pandemic meant May’s
figure should have been 3% higher – 17.7% – and that April’s figure should have been 5% higher at
19.7%.
US economic activity declined by an annualized rate of 4.8% in the first quarter of the year and is
expected to fall far more sharply in the second quarter. The Atlanta Fed recently projected that gross
domestic product GDP), the broadest measure of economic growth, could shrink by an annual rate of 53%
over the quarter.
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